2022 Bahamas Bowl prediction, odds, line: UAB vs. Miami (OH) picks, best bets from proven computer simulation

Thomas A. Robinson National Stadium hosts the 2022 Bahamas Bowl in Nassau on Friday morning. The game marks the start of the 2022-23 college football bowl schedule, with teams representing Conference USA and the MAC. The UAB Blazers take on the Miami (OH) RedHawks in a battle between 6-6 clubs. UAB defeated Louisiana Tech in the regular season finale to earn a sixth victory, while Miami (Ohio) won its last two games to reach the .500 mark for the season. UAB will be led by interim head coach Bryant Vincent in this game with new hire Trent Dilfer set to lead the program going forward. 

Caesars Sportsbook lists the Blazers as 11-point favorites, and kick-off is scheduled for 11:30 a.m. ET. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 45.5 in the latest Miami (OH) vs. UAB odds. Before locking in any UAB vs. Miami (OH) picks or Bahamas Bowl predictions, be sure to check out what SportsLine’s advanced computer model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $2,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on UAB vs. Miami and just locked in its Bahamas Bowl 2022 picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several college football odds and betting trends for Miami vs. UAB:

• Miami (Ohio) vs. UAB spread: UAB -11
• Miami (Ohio) vs. UAB over/under: 45.5 points
• Miami (Ohio) vs. UAB money line: UAB -420, Miami (OH) +320
• Miami (Ohio): The RedHawks are 5-7 against the spread this season
• UAB: The Blazers are 4-8 against the spread this season
• Miami (Ohio) vs. UAB picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why Miami (OH) can cover

The RedHawks have a path to effectiveness on the ground on offense. Miami is set to deploy freshman quarterback Aveon Smith in the Bahamas Bowl in place of the injured Brett Gabbert, and Smith leads the team in rushing for the season. Smith is averaging 91.4 rushing yards with five rushing touchdowns in the last five games, and UAB is giving up 4.7 yards per carry and more than 170 rushing yards per game this season. 

On defense, Miami is quite strong, leading the MAC in scoring defense at 22.5 points allowed per game. The RedHawks also lead the conference in rushing defense, giving up only 135.8 yards per game, and Miami yielding only 3.9 yards per carry with six rushing touchdowns allowed. Miami is also very good against the pass, holding opponents to fewer than seven yards per pass attempt and only 16 passing touchdowns across 12 games of action this season.

Why UAB can cover

In addition to a high-powered offense, UAB can lean on a stout defense. The Blazers led Conference USA in scoring defense, giving up 23.4 points per game this season, and UAB finished No. 2 in the conference with 368.3 total yards allowed per game. UAB led Conference USA in passing yards allowed (197.7 per game) and passing touchdowns allowed (14), with opponents completing only 57.3% of passes. UAB is facing a vulnerable Miami (Ohio) offense that averaged only 20.3 points per game and 165.8 passing yards per game during the regular season. 

The RedHawks converted only 32.2% of third down chances with 6.4 yards per pass attempt and 3.9 yards per rush attempt this season. UAB’s offense is also difficult to stop, especially on the ground. The Blazers are in the top five of the nation in rushing offense, averaging more than 240 yards per game, and UAB is No. 2 in the country in averaging 6.0 yards per rush attempt. With UAB converting more than 43% of third down chances and averaging 30.6 points per game, the Blazers have a rock-solid foundation.

How to make UAB vs. Miami (OH) picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 49 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations. You can only get the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Miami vs. UAB? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.