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Dallas Cowboys at Miami Dolphins: Game predictions, picks, odds


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The Dallas Cowboys (10-4) were humbled last week and face another tough road game in Week 16 at Hard Rock Stadium against the Miami Dolphins (10-4).

Dak Prescott might have fallen out of the MVP race with an abysmal performance in Dallas’ 31-10 beatdown at the hands of the Buffalo Bills. The quarterback threw for a season-low 134 yards and didn’t throw a touchdown for only the second time this season. The Cowboys are 3-4 on the road.

The Dolphins rebounded last week after a primetime upset. The defense had their first shutout of the season as they beat the New York Jets 30-0. The offense was without star receiver Tyreek Hill. In his absence, Jaylen Waddle had eight catches for a season-high 142 yards and a touchdown. Raheem Mostert scored twice to set the franchise record with 20 touchdowns on the season.

Will the Cowboys be able to capture the road upset? Or will the Dolphins’ dominance continue?

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Dolphins vs. Cowboys odds, moneyline, over/under

The Dolphins are favorites to defeat the Cowboys, according to the BetMGM NFL odds. Looking to wager? Check out the best mobile sports betting apps offering NFL betting promos in 2023, including the new ESPN BET app.

  • Spread: Dolphins (-1)
  • Moneyline: Dolphins (-110); Cowboys (-110)
  • Over/under: 49.5

Not interested in this game? Our guide to NFL betting odds, picks and spreads has you covered with Thursday Night Football odds, Sunday Night Football odds and/or Monday Night Football odds.

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NFL Week 16 odds, predictions and picks

Rams vs. Saints | Steelers vs. Bengals | Chargers vs. Bills | Falcons vs. Colts | Panthers vs. Packers | Texans vs. Browns | Vikings vs. Lions | Jets vs. Commanders | Titans vs. Seahawks | Buccaneers vs. Jaguars | Bears vs. Cardinals | Dolphins vs. Cowboys | Broncos vs. Patriots | Chiefs vs. Raiders | Eagles vs. Giants | 49ers vs. Ravens

Lorenzo Reyes: Dolphins 30, Cowboys 26

The Dolphins play fairly well at home, with their lone loss coming two weeks ago against the Titans. The Cowboys struggle on the road and are 3-4 away from Arlington. I’m expecting Miami to have a plan to use its speed to exploit Dallas’ rush defense. I think this is a nice candidate for the over.

Tyler Dragon: Dolphins 27, Cowboys 24

The Cowboys struggle on the road and the Dolphins have benefitted from a soft schedule. This is a game that could change the perception of each team. The Cowboys struggle with pre-snap motion and misdirection plays. The Dolphins run a similar scheme as the 49ers, and Miami has the fastest player in the NFL in Tyreek Hill. Advantage Dolphins.  

Safid Deen: Dolphins 27, Cowboys 23

Tyreek Hill (ankle) should be back in the lineup for the Dolphins, who are 6-1 at home and need a win over a contender to show they have a chance to be one themselves this season. Don’t like the Cowboys traveling on back-to-back weeks, and the Dolphins could follow Buffalo’s game plan of pounding the football on the ground to their advantage.

Victoria Hernandez: Dolphins 27, Cowboys 17

The Cowboys are playing in their second straight road game and were exposed last week in a smacking at the hands of the Bills. The Dolphins rebounded nicely from a loss of their own in a game that they were supposed to win, but they were without Tyreek Hill. Dallas will be weary and Miami will have no problem capitalizing on their road woes.

Jordan Mendoza: Dolphins 29, Cowboys 26

Last week showed there are some gaps in the Cowboys’ defense, and they’re going against a team that runs that ball extremely well. That, plus the possible return of Tyreek Hill, gives Miami the edge in this big contest.

You can view the full list of USA TODAY’s NFL expert predictions here.

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