Real Estate

CoreLogic: Annual US Rent Price Growth Slows for Third Consecutive Month in July


  • Attached single-family rental price growth slightly outpaced detached price growth in July, a respective 12.6% and 11.9%, moving away from pandemic-era preferences for detached rentals
  • Miami has posted the largest year-over-year rent price increase for more than a year, but annual appreciation has tapered significantly since spring

IRVINE, Calif., September 20, 2022 CoreLogic©, a leading global property information, analytics and data-enabled solutions provider, today released its latest Single-Family Rent Index (SFRI), which analyzes single-family rent price changes nationally and across major metropolitan areas.

Although U.S. single-family rent growth was up by 12.6% in July year over year, the gains continued to slow from the historic high recorded in April. CoreLogic observes similar price growth relaxation in most major metro areas tracked in the SFRI, including popular Sun Belt cities that have seen rental costs skyrocket. Miami’s 30.6% annual price gain again topped the country in July but is down from the 40.8% year-over-year growth recorded in March 2022. Phoenix, which posted a 12.2% annual gain in July, saw rental cost growth drop by 6 percentage points from March. Large rent price increases in major Sun Belt metros over the past year have eroded affordability, making these areas less attractive to people who may have been considering migrating and thereby tempering demand.

However, rent growth has risen slightly since the spring national peak in some large Northeastern metros. Philadelphia, New York and Washington showed accelerated rent growth since April, with steady demand in the latter region driven by government workers who are returning to offices.

“July marked the third month of slower annual gains in single-family rents,” said Molly Boesel, principal economist at CoreLogic. “However, higher interest rates this year increased monthly mortgage payments for new loans, and potential homebuyers may choose to continue renting rather than buy, helping keep price increases in check.”

To gain a detailed view of single-family rental prices, CoreLogic examines four tiers of rental prices. National single-family rent growth across the four tiers, and the year-over-year changes, were as follows:

  • Lower-priced (75% or less than the regional median): 13.9%, up from 6.3% in July 2021
  • Lower-middle priced (75% to 100% of the regional median): 13.6%, up from 7.5% in July 2021
  • Higher-middle priced (100% to 125% of the regional median): 13.4%, up from 8.4% inJuly 2021
  • Higher-priced (125% or more than the regional median): 11.4%, up from 10.1% in July 2021

Of the 20 metro areas shown in Table 1, Miami posted the highest year-over-year increase in single-family rents in July 2022 at 30.6%, marking more than a year that it has led the U.S. for price growth. Orlando, Florida recorded the second-highest gain at 22.2%, while San Diego and Atlanta tied for third at 14%. St. Louis posted the lowest annual rent price gain at 4.4%.

Differences in rent growth by property type emerged after COVID-19 took hold, as renters sought standalone properties in lower-density areas. This trend drove an uptick in rent growth for detached rentals in 2021, while the gains for attached rentals were more moderate. However, this trend has recently shifted, and attached rental property prices grew by 12.6% year over year in July, compared to the 11.9% increase for detached homes.

The next CoreLogic Single-Family Rent Index will be released on October 18, 2022, featuring data for August 2022. For ongoing housing trends and data, visit the CoreLogic Intelligence Blog: www.corelogic.com/intelligence.

Figure 2 SIngle-Family Rent Index YOY Percent Change in 20 Markets
Figure 3 Single-Family Attached vs Detached Rental Price Growth
Table 1 Single-Family Rent Change for Select Geographical Areas

Methodology

The single-family rental market accounts for half of the rental housing stock, yet unlike the multifamily market, which has many different sources of rent data, there are minimal quality adjusted single-family rent transaction data. The CoreLogic Single-Family Rent Index (SFRI) serves to fill that void by applying a repeat pairing methodology to single-family rental listing data in the Multiple Listing Service. CoreLogic constructed the SFRI for close to 100 metropolitan areas — including 47 metros with four value tiers — and a national composite index.

The CoreLogic Single-Family Rent Index analyzes data across four price tiers: Lower-priced, which represent rentals with prices 75% or below the regional median; lower-middle, 75% to 100% of the regional median; higher-middle, 100%-125% of the regional median; and higher-priced, 125% or more above the regional median.

Median rent price data is produced monthly by CoreLogic RentalTrends. RentalTrends is built on a database of more than 11 million rental properties (over 75% of all U.S. individual owned rental properties) and covers all 50 states and 17,500 ZIP codes.

Source: CoreLogic

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About CoreLogic

CoreLogic is a leading global property information, analytics and data-enabled solutions provider. The company’s combined data from public, contributory and proprietary sources includes over 4.5 billion records spanning more than 50 years, providing detailed coverage of property, mortgages and other encumbrances, consumer credit, tenancy, location, hazard risk and related performance information. The markets CoreLogic serves include real estate and mortgage finance, insurance, capital markets, and the public sector. CoreLogic delivers value to clients through unique data, analytics, workflow technology, advisory and managed services. Clients rely on CoreLogic to help identify and manage growth opportunities, improve performance and mitigate risk. Headquartered in Irvine, Calif., CoreLogic operates in North America, Western Europe and Asia Pacific. For more information, please visit www.corelogic.com.

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