Where to draft Miami Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill
One of the most interesting players in the fantasy football world this season – and the subject of the most speculation on his draft value – is Miami Dolphins wide receiver Tyreek Hill.
Hill thrived when paired with QB Patrick Mahomes in Kansas City and the question now becomes “who made who?” Blessed with the most electrifying speed of any NFL wide receiver, Hill was a deep threat every play he lined up.
But last season, it seemed as though he became a much more complete receiver in terms of his route tree. His average per catch (11.2 yards) was almost 4 yards lower than his career average, but he shattered his single-season high with 111 receptions, along with 1,239 yards and 9 touchdowns increasing his value in PPR leagues.
Below, we look at Tyreek Hill’s 2022 fantasy football average draft position (ADP) and where you should draft him.
After scoring 43 receiving touchdowns in his last 60 games with the Chiefs, Hill comes to a Miami offense led by QB Tua Tagovailoa, WR Jaylen Waddle and TE Mike Gesicki. Nobody doubts the talent of the “big 3” receivers. It’s Tagovailoa that remains the big question mark.
Tyreek Hill’s ADP: 26.17
(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com)
If Hill was still in Kansas City, he would be a lock to be in the top 3 or 4 fantasy wide receivers. As it stands, he’s still a WR1 clocking in at No. 8 or 9 on most draft analyst boards, largely because of the uncertainty that surrounds Tagovailoa.
Hill’s ADP finds him slightly behind Deebo Samuel (San Francisco 49ers) at 20.79 and ahead of Mike Evans (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) at 30.52 and Keenan Allen (Los Angles Chargers) at 32.80.
His ADP lands Hill in the middle of the 3rd round in 10-player fantasy formats – the lowest he has been ranked since 2018.
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Tyreek Hill’s 2021 stats
Games: 17
Receptions | targets: 111 | 159
Receiving yards: 1,239
Receiving touchdowns: 9
Where should you draft Hill?
Drafting Hill is always done on the premise that on any given week, he can provide the massive points that elite receivers are capable of doing – 7 or 8 receptions for more than 100 yards and the potential for a couple touchdowns. Few players are capable of posting 100 yards with just 2 or 3 receptions, but that’s the kind of lethal talent Hill possesses.
I’m in lock step with those who have devalued Hill slightly because of his move to a quarterback with far less pure talent, the ability to read defenses and to extend plays like Mahomes did in Kansas City. For Hill to succeed in Miami, the Dolphins offensive line is going to be critical to provide Hill the time needed to run deep routes.
Hill is clearly a WR1 in any league, but his value starts to climb at the turn of the 2nd and 3rd round of drafts because there will be more down weeks if defenses choose to double up on Hill and force Tagovailoa to beat them.
Hill will have his share of huge weeks, but they won’t come with the same regularity as they did in Kansas City.
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