Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions
The Miami Marlins (49-59) and Philadelphia Phillies (60-48) meet Tuesday at 7:05 p.m. ET to open a 3-game series at Citizens Bank Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Marlins vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Philadelphia leads 6-4
The Marlins continue a road trip that opened by losing 2 of 3 games against the Chicago Cubs. Miami is 2-7 with an anemic .558 OPS over its last 9 games.
The Phillies are rolling. Philadelphia has won 5 straight games and 10 of its last 11. The Phils have banged out an .865 OPS over that span, and 4 of their last 6 wins have been by 5 runs or more.
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Marlins at Phillies projected starters
LHP Braxton Garrett vs. RHP Zack Wheeler
Garrett (2-5, 3.88 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has notched a 1.16 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 through 58 IP.
Has clocked a 5.06 ERA over 53 1/3 career innings on the road.
Coming off a season-high 104 pitches in his last turn.
The Phillies rank 6th in MLB with a .767 OPS versus lefty pitching.
Wheeler (10-5, 2.69 ERA) has authored a 1.01 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 120 2/3 IP across 20 starts.
Blasted by the Marlins on April 17 for 7 ER on 8 H and 3 BB in 3 IP.
Has authored a sparkling 1.02 ERA and 0.75 WHIP over his last 53 IP at home and owns a 2.17 ERA and 0.90 WHIP at Citizens since 2020.
Marlins at Phillies odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:35 a.m. ET.
Money line: Marlins +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Phillies -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-115) | Phillies -1.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)
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Marlins at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 5, Marlins 3
Money line
AVOID: The price on Philly isn’t that out of whack, but the Run Line offers excellent leverage.
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Run line/Against the spread
Lots of value here; move fast. PHILADELPHIA -1.5 (-105) is a strong play.
With the way these two offenses have been going, the way Wheeler dominates at home, the way Garrett has scuffled on the road, and with the Miami lefty coming off a season-high pitch count, there is more than enough leverage on a multi-run win for the home nine — even in a low-scoring game.
Over/Under
Some under-the-radar pitching signals point to an Under here. However, on a warm and humid evening at hitter-friendly Citizens Bank Park, and with the lefty-righty pitching matchup swinging both clubs around to their best platoon figures, a PASS is recommended.
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