Denver Nuggets at Miami Heat prop picks

The Denver Nuggets face the Miami Heat in Game 3 of the NBA Finals on Wednesday. Tip is set for 8:30 p.m. ET (ABC) at Kaseya Center. Below, we break down BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA Finals Game 3 prop bet odds and lines, and tab the 3 best Nuggets vs. Heat prop bets to make among SportsbookWire’s expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Heat continued their Cinderella story on Sunday with a 111-108 victory in Denver to even the series. The Nuggets led by 8 points entering the 4th quarter, but could not put the game away.

C Nikola Jokic tried to put the game on his back with 41 points, but in the process diverged from his usual court presence and only contributed 4 assists after notching 14  in Game 1. Miami G Gabe Vincent gave the Heat a much needed boost going 4-of-6 on 3-pointers.

Game 3: Best Nuggets at Heat prop bet picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 10:40 p.m. ET.

Nuggets F Michael Porter Jr. 3-pointers made: OVER 2.5 (-120)

For everyone who bet this prop the last 2 games, I understand the skepticism. So far he’s 3 for 17 from behind the arc, 1 for 6 in Game 2.

But just remember MPJ averages 7.1 treys per game, 2nd on the team behind G Jamal Murray. So far his slump hasn’t stopped him from finding open looks and if the Nuggets are going to win (which I still believe will happen) it starts with MPJ.

Miami Heat Team Total: UNDER 103.5 (+130)

This is a way to play the moneyline with better odds but slightly more risk. In these playoffs the Heat win with their offense. In their wins, Miami went Over 103.5 in 11 of their 13 games. In losses, they went Under 103.5 in 5 of their 7 games.

For the Miami fans you can also find plus money odds on the Over market. Against the Milwaukee Bucks and Boston Celtics the Heat scored Over 110 in 7 of their 8 wins. You can get that number at +160. Alas, I think Denver will pull out the win.

Race to 10 points: NUGGETS (-135)

Miami went 4 of 6 to start Game 2 while Denver started 0 for 4 which should be an anomaly. If you include the regular season Denver averages 30.1 points in the 1st quarter, which was 3rd best in the NBA. In Game 2 they scored just 23.

In Game 1 Denver won the race to 10 points and kept their foot on the pedal to open the series. I expect them to come out aggressive after the stunning loss in Game 2.

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