Boston Red Sox at Miami Marlins odds, picks and predictions

The Boston Red Sox (44-39) and Miami Marlins (30-54) open a 3-game series Tuesday. First pitch from loanDepot park is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Miami won 3-0 last season

Boston beat the San Diego Padres 4-1 Sunday while covering as a -108 home favorite to end a 3-game losing streak. The Red Sox had previously allowed appointments to score 9 or more runs in 3 straight games.

Miami lost 7-6 to the Philadelphia Phillies Sunday as a +222 road underdog. The Marlins allowed the Phillies to score 5 unanswered runs to blow a 6-2 lead. Miami has lost 2 of its last 3 games.

Red Sox at Marlins projected starters

RHP Kutter Crawford vs. RHP Valente Bellozo

Crawford (3-7, 3.59 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 92 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 6 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 7 K in a 5-2 loss at Cincinnati Reds on June 21
• First career start vs. Miami

Bellozo (0-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 2nd career start. He has a 0.40 WHIP, 0.0 BB/9 and 3.6 K/9 in 5 innings.

• First MLB start: No-decision, 5 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 2 K in a 5-1 loss at Kansas City Royals Wednesday
• The 24-year-old rookie had a 3.70 ERA in 80 minor league games (49 starts) over 5 seasons

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Red Sox at Marlins odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 10:15 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Red Sox -176 (bet $176 to win $100) | Marlins +148 (bet $100 to win $148)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (-102) | Marlins +1.5 (-118)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Red Sox at Marlins picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 4, Marlins 1

Moneyline

PASS.

I expect the Red Sox (-176) to pick up the win here vs. an inferior Marlins team starting a rookie making just his 2nd start, but they are not worth the risk of betting on as such heavy favorites. Bet on the run line and/or total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

BET RED SOX -1.5 (-102).

None of Boston’s last 6 wins vs. Miami finished within a 1-run margin, including in its last 2 wins in Miami. The Red Sox are also 4-1 in their last 5 on the road, so I expect them to continue that dominance here against a rookie hurler.

Seven of Boston’s last 10 wins have been by multiple runs, but be aware that Boston is only 37-46 ATS.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-110).

The Under has hit in 2 of Miami’s last 3 games and 6 of its last 10. For Boston, the Under is 2-1 in its last 3 road games. The Under has also hit in 2 of the last 3 Boston-Miami matchups in Miami, being 7-3 in the last 10 meetings overall.

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