Dallas Cowboys at Miami Dolphins odds, picks and predictions

The Dallas Cowboys (10-4) take on the Miami Dolphins (10-4) Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cowboys vs. Dolphins odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Cowboys failed to cover as 2.5-point road underdogs, and the Under (49.5) connected, in their 31-10 defeat to the Buffalo Bills in Week 15. Dallas was on a 5-game winning streak before last week’s loss and is in 1st place in the NFC East.

The Dolphins trounced the New York Jets 30-0 in Week 15, covering as 7-point home favorites, and the Under (36.5) hit. Miami has won 4 of its last 5 games, but it now has just 1 more win than Buffalo in the AFC East.

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Cowboys at Dolphins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:15 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Cowboys +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Dolphins -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
• Against the spread (ATS): Cowboys  +1 (-110) | Dolphins -1 (-110)
• Over/Under (O/U): 48.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Cowboys at Dolphins key injuries

Cowboys

• S Malik Hooker (ankle) probable
• G Zack Martin (thigh) questionable
• OT Tyron Smith (back) out

Dolphins

• WR Tyreek Hill (ankle) probable
• CB Xavien Howard (hip) questionable
• G Robert Hunt (hamstring) out
• OT Austin Jackson (oblique) questionable
• S Jevon Holland (knees) questionable
• DE Emmanuel Ogbah (hamstring) questionable
• CB Cam Smith (hamstring) questionable

Cowboys at Dolphins picks and predictions

Prediction

Cowboys 27, Dolphins 20

Moneyline

While this game is crucial for both teams, I’ll back the COWBOYS (+100) on the road. Even though Dallas has struggled on the road and Miami has been strong at home, the Dolphins have yet to beat a team with a winning record.

Against the spread

I would PASS on the spread in this matchup unless you’re confident in the Dolphins winning. There is more value in taking Miami’s spread than its ML, and there is more value in taking Dallas’ ML than its spread.

Over/Under

Given the injuries both teams are experiencing in the trenches, I’ll lean UNDER 48.5 (-110). The Cowboys have gone Under in back-to-back games with perceived high totals against the Bills and the Philadelphia Eagles.

The Dolphins will also try to run the ball often to lighten the load on QB Tua Tagovailoa against a formidable pass rush.

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