Denver Nuggets vs. Miami Heat odds, tips and betting trends
The Denver Nuggets and Miami Heat are facing off in the NBA Finals, with Game 1 up next.
The Nuggets head into their game against the Heat as an 8.5-point favorite. The game’s over/under is set at 219.
Nuggets vs. Heat Betting Odds
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list.
- Spread: Denver -8.5
- Total: 219
- Moneyline: Denver -384, Miami +305
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Heat at Nuggets odds, spread, & more
Prediction
Moneyline
- Denver has won 43, or 70.5%, of the 61 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
- This year, Denver has won 15 of 20 games when listed as at least -384 or better on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Denver has a 79.3% chance of pulling out a win.
- Miami has put together an 8-16 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 33.3% of those games).
- Miami has played as a moneyline underdog of +305 or longer in just one game this season, which it lost.
- Miami has a 24.7% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
Against the spread
- The Nuggets average 115.8 points per game, six more points than the 109.8 the Heat allow.
- Denver has a 38-21-2 record against the spread and a 48-13 record overall when scoring more than 109.8 points.
- Miami has a 25-33-3 record against the spread and a 38-23 record overall when giving up fewer than 115.8 points.
- The Heat put up an average of 109.5 points per game, only three fewer points than the 112.5 the Nuggets allow.
- When it scores more than 112.5 points, Miami is 15-14-1 against the spread and 22-8 overall.
- Denver’s record is 27-6-1 against the spread and 28-6 overall when it allows fewer than 109.5 points.
- The Nuggets are at the 12th spot in the NBA’s scoring charts (115.8 PPG), while the Heat allow the second-fewest points per game (109.8) in the league.
- Miami is the NBA’s lowest-scoring offense (109.5 PPG), while Denver is the eighth-ranked defense (112.5).
- The Nuggets have out-scored their opponents by a total of 273 points this season (3.3 points per game on average), and opponents of the Heat have out-scored them by 26 more points on the year (0.3 per game).
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- Denver has an average implied point total of 118.2 this season, which is 4.2 points higher than its implied total in Thursday’s game (114).
- So far this season, Denver has scored more than 114 points in a game 50 times.
- Miami’s average implied point total on the year (112.4 points) is 7.4 points higher than its implied total in this matchup (105 points).
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How to watch Nuggets vs. Heat
- Game Day: Thursday, June 1, 2023
- Game Time: 8:30 PM ET
- TV Channel: ABC
- Location: Denver, Colorado
- Arena: Ball Arena
- NBA League Pass: The most live games plus NBA TV. Free trial
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