Texas A&M vs. Miami: Prediction, pick, spread, football game odds, live stream, watch online, TV channel

No. 13 Miami will be on the road to face No. 24 Texas A&M under the lights Saturday night in College Station, Texas, in what will be a crucial nonconference game for both programs. The undefeated Hurricanes are coming off of a 30-7 home victory vs. Southern Miss, while the Aggies were stunned at home last week in a 17-14 upset by Appalachian State.

This will be a season-defining game for an Aggies team that can’t afford another loss before even stepping foot into conference play. A loss to the ‘Canes will demoralize what is already a fragile team and could make this a lost season. Meanwhile, Miami is still in search of a return to national prominence. A win over Texas A&M won’t exactly signal that, but a loss, considering where Texas A&M’s reputation currently stands, would likely peg this current Miami team as more of a pretender than a contender.

Let’s break down Saturday night’s contest and make picks straight up and against the spread.

Texas A&M vs. Miami: Need to know

Will there be a QB change?: It’s safe to say that, through four games as a starter dating back to last year, Aggies signal-caller Haynes King hasn’t lived up to expectations. He has as many touchdown passes as interceptions (five) and his timing seems to have been off in both games in 2022. Will coach Jimbo Fisher take a chance and insert ex-LSU starter Max Johnson into the lineup? Reports on Friday indicate that he will.

That decision not only could determine the outcome of Saturday’s game, but the Aggies’ trajectory for the remainder of the season.

Miami has to start faster: The Hurricanes were down 7-3 to Southern Miss late in the first half before Henry Parrish Jr. punched in their first touchdown of the game with 20 seconds left in the second quarter. Miami pulled away late, but this is going to be a whole different animal on Saturday night at Kyle Field.

“I thought we started off sluggish like we mentioned before and then at the end of the first half, I think five of our last six drives we scored albeit two were field goals and then we had one punt,” coach Mario Cristobal said. “We came up short on a couple drives that were self-inflicted situations and circumstances where we had a penalty we could’ve avoided.”

It’s one thing to have a slow start at home to an overmatched team. It’s an entirely different thing to have one on the road in prime time against a desperate team looking to get back on to the national scene. It’ll be fascinating to see how Miami tries to get quarterback Tyler Van Dyke in a groove early to avoid digging too big of a hole. 

Van Dyke vs. the Aggie secondary: Texas A&M leads the SEC in pass defense (112.5 YPG), which was to be expected considering the talent that it has on the back end. That secondary will have its toughest challenge of the year when it goes up against Van Dyke. The sophomore has completed 73.9% of his passes this year, averaging 9.7 yards per attempt. It’ll be interesting to see how creative Texas A&M defensive coordinator D.J. Durkin gets knowing that Van Dyke is capable of taking over the game with a clean pocket.

How to watch Texas A&M vs. Miami live

Date: Saturday, Sept. 17 | Time: 9 p.m. ET
Location: Kyle Field — College Station, Texas
TV: ESPN | Live stream: fuboTV (Try for free)

Texas A&M vs. Miami prediction, picks

This is going to come down to a battle of quarterbacks, and the winner of that battle is clear. Van Dyke is more talented, has better protection and more weapons outside than Johnson. Van Dyke and the Hurricanes offense will set the tempo, which will result in this game being played in the 30’s. Texas A&M won’t be able to hang. Multiple mistakes by Texas A&M in the second half will not only give Miami the cover, but a straight up win. Prediction: Miami (+5.5)

Which college football picks can you make with confidence in Week 3, and which favorites will go down hard? Visit SportsLine to see which teams will win and cover the spread — all from a proven computer model that has returned almost $3,400 in profit over the past six-plus seasons — and find out.