Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions
The Miami Marlins (37-40) try to provide fireworks against the Washington Nationals (29-52) Monday at Nationals Park in the finale of a 4-game set. First pitch is scheduled for 11:05 a.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Nationalsodds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Miami is 11-1 against Washington this season and the Marlins have outscored the Nationals 59-26 in the 12 games.
Happy Independence Day, everyone!
Miami pulled one out 7-4 in extra innings Sunday to continue its dominance over the Nationals. Washington got some bad news as star OF Juan Soto left the game with a calf injury that will likely keep him out of Monday’s game.
The Fish have won 4 in a row as they inch closer to .500. Washington is going nowhere – fast. Soto’s injury won’t make things any easier.
Marlins at Nationals projected starters
LHP Braxton Garrett vs. LHP Patrick Corbin
Garrett (1-3, 3.39 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.70 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 22 1/3 IP.
- Roughed up in last start for 5 ER on 7 H and 1 BB with 5 K in 4 2/3 IP against the St. Louis Cardinals June 28.
- Features a 91-mph fastball, slider, curve and changeup
- Opponents kill his changeup for a .714 batting average, but they’re hitting just .211 on his 4-seamer.
Corbin (4-10, 6.06 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.70 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 81 2/3 IP.
- Coming off his best start of the year vs. the Pittsburgh Pirates June 28 with 8 IP, 5 H, 1 R, 2 BB and a season-high 12 K.
- Allowed 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB and 8 K in 6 IP in April 28 home loss to Miami.
Marlins at Nationals odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:19 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML) : Marlins -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Nationals -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS) : Marlins -1.5 (+135) | Nationals +1.5 (-170)
- Over/Under (O/U) : 9.5 (O: -102 | U: -125)
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Marlins at Nationals picks and predictions
Prediction
Nationals 4, Marlins 3
Money line
For a team that’s 1-11 against a particular opponent, the books sure aren’t confident in the Marlins Monday. With it being the 4th of July in the nation’s capital, the law of averages and Corbin coming off his best start give us enough confidence to go with the NATIONALS FIRST 5 INNINGS (+120) for a HALF UNIT.
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Run line/Against the spread
The Nats are just 15-28 on the RL at home. The -170 price is pretty cumbersome. If you’re on board with the home cooking, just stick to the money line or Nats first 5 innings. PASS.
Over/Under
The Under is 5-0 in the Marlins’ last 5 starts against a lefty and in Garrett’s last 5 starts. The Under is 4-0 in the Nats’ last 4 against a lefty and in Corbin’s last 4 starts with the total between 7 and 8.5. The Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Washington. Let’s roll with UNDER 9.5 (-125).
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